What Makes The Current American Government Shutdown Different (as well as Harder to Resolve)?
Government closures are a repeat element of US politics – but the current situation appears especially difficult to resolve because of shifting political forces along with deep-seated animosity between both major parties.
Some government services face a temporary halt, and about 750,000 employees likely to be placed on furlough without pay as both political parties remain unable to reach consensus on a spending bill.
Votes aimed at ending the impasse continue to fall short, and it is hard to see a clear resolution path in this instance because each side – as well as the nation's leader – perceive advantages in maintaining their positions.
Here are several key factors that make this shutdown distinct currently.
1. For Democrats, the focus is on Trump – beyond healthcare issues
Democratic supporters has been demanding for months for their representatives more forcefully fights the Trump administration. Well now the party leadership have an opportunity to demonstrate their responsiveness.
Earlier this year, the Senate's top Democrat was fiercely criticised for helping pass GOP budget legislation thus preventing a shutdown in the spring. Now he's holding firm.
This is a chance for the Democratic party to show they can take back certain authority from a presidency pursuing its agenda assertively with determined action.
Opposing the Republican spending plan carries electoral dangers that the wider public will grow frustrated as the dispute drags on and impacts accumulate.
The Democrats are leveraging the budget standoff to highlight concerns about expiring health insurance subsidies together with GOP-backed federal health program reductions affecting low-income populations, both facing public opposition.
They are also trying to restrict executive utilization of his executive powers to cancel or delay funding approved by Congress, a practice demonstrated in international assistance and various federal programs.
Second, For Republicans, it's an opportunity
The administration leader and one of his key officials have openly indicated their perspective that they perceive an opening to advance further reductions to the federal workforce that have featured the current presidential term to date.
The President himself said last week that the government closure provided him with an "unprecedented opportunity", and that he would look to reduce funding for "Democrat agencies".
Administration officials stated they would face the "unenviable task" involving significant workforce reductions to keep essential government services operating should the impasse persist. An administration spokesperson said this was just "budgetary responsibility".
The scope of the potential lay-offs remains unclear, but the White House has been in discussions with the Office of Management and Budget, or OMB, under the leadership of the administration's budget director.
The administration's financial chief has already announced the halting of government financial support for regions governed by of the country, including New York City and Illinois' largest city.
Third, Trust Is Lacking between both parties
While previous shutdowns have been characterised by extended negotiations among political opponents in an effort to get federal operations, there appears to be little of the same spirit for compromise presently.
Instead, animosity prevails. The bad blood persisted recently, with Republicans and Democrats blaming each other regarding the deadlock's origin.
The legislative leader from the majority party, accused Democrats of not being serious toward resolution, and holding out over a deal "for electoral protection".
Simultaneously, the opposition's chief levelled the same accusation at the other side, stating how a Republican promise to discuss healthcare subsidies after operations resume cannot be trusted.
The administration leader personally has escalated tensions by posting a computer-created controversial depiction featuring the opposition leader and the top Democrat opposition figure, in which the legislator is depicted with traditional headwear and a moustache.
The affected legislator with party colleagues called this racist, a characterization rejected by the administration's second-in-command.
4. The US economy is fragile
Experts project approximately two-fifths of government employees – over 800,000 workers – to face furlough due to the shutdown.
That will depress spending – and also have wider ramifications, including halted environmental approvals, patent approvals, interrupted vendor payments and other kinds of federal operations connected to commercial interests comes to a halt.
The closure additionally introduces fresh instability within economic systems already being roiled from multiple factors including tariffs, previous budget reductions, immigration raids and technological advancements.
Analysts estimate that it could shave as much as 0.2 percentage points from national economic expansion for each week it lasts.
But the economy typically recoups the majority of interrupted operations after a shutdown ends, similar to recovery patterns after major environmental events.
That could be one reason why the stock market has appeared largely unfazed to the ongoing impasse.
On the other hand, experts indicate should the President carries out proposed significant workforce reductions, the damage could be extended in duration.